4.14 Linear transformations of random variables questions for IB Maths AI

50 questions on Linear transformations of random variables, written by Augment in the style of IB exam papers. Six of them are below in full, to answer on paper.

  • IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation
  • Part of 4 Statistics and probability
  • HL only

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Written by Augment in the style of IB exams, not past papers. Answer them on paper, then check each one against its markscheme with a free account.

Question 1 · AI-00958Paper 1 · 7 marks

The passenger lift in the Torre Sabina office building displays the sign "Maximum load 1000 kg".

The masses of adults who use the lift are normally distributed with mean 76.5 kg and standard deviation 13.2 kg. Assume that the masses of the people in the lift are independent.

  1. (a)

    Twelve adults enter the lift. Let T be their total mass, in kg. Find the mean and the variance of T.

    2 marks

  2. (b)

    Find the probability that the total mass of the twelve adults exceeds the maximum load.

    2 marks

  3. (c)

    The building manager wants the probability that the total mass of the adults in the lift exceeds 1000 kg to be less than 1%. Find the greatest number of adults that should be allowed in the lift at one time.

    3 marks

Question 2 · AI-00305Paper 2 · 14 marks

An examination is marked out of 80. A candidate's raw mark r is first converted to a percentage, p(r)=1.25r. The percentage x is then scaled using s(x)=0.9x+12 to give the final scaled score.

  1. (a)

    Find an expression for (s∘p)(r).

    2 marks

  2. (b)

    Find the scaled score of Chiara, whose raw mark is 52.

    1 mark

  3. (c)

    Find an expression for (s∘p)−1(x).

    2 marks

  4. (d)

    A grade 7 is awarded for a scaled score of 75 or more. Hence find the minimum raw mark needed for a grade 7.

    1 mark

  5. (e)

    Find (s∘p)(80) and comment on your answer.

    2 marks

  6. (f)

    The raw marks of the candidates are modelled by a normal distribution with mean 48 and standard deviation 9. Find the probability that a randomly chosen candidate is awarded a grade 7.

    3 marks

  7. (g)

    Find the mean and the standard deviation of the scaled scores.

    3 marks

Question 3 · AI-01642Paper 3 · 27 marks

This question investigates whether the opening of a new marina has increased the number of boats arriving at a canal lock.

Boats on the Ellesmere Canal must pass through Hartwell Lock. The lock keeper, Ingrid, records the number of boats arriving at the lock in 40 randomly chosen one-hour periods during the summer.

Number of boats in one hour

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Frequency

2

4

9

9

7

5

3

1

  1. (a)

    Ingrid wants to model the number of boats arriving in one hour by a Poisson distribution.

    State two conditions that must hold for this model to be appropriate.

    2 marks

  2. (b)(i)

    Calculate the mean and the variance of the number of boats arriving in one hour, according to Ingrid's data.

    2 marks

  3. (b)(ii)

    Explain how your answers to part (b)(i) support the use of a Poisson model.

    1 mark

  4. (c)(i)

    Ingrid models the number of boats arriving in one hour by a Poisson distribution with mean 3.2.

    Find the probability that exactly 5 boats arrive in a one-hour period.

    2 marks

  5. (c)(ii)

    Given that at least 3 boats arrive in a two-hour period, find the probability that fewer than 6 boats arrive in that period.

    3 marks

  6. (d)(i)

    The lock operates in 30-minute cycles and can take at most 4 boats in each cycle. Any extra boats must wait for the next cycle.

    Find the probability that more than 4 boats arrive during one 30-minute cycle.

    2 marks

  7. (d)(ii)

    On one day the lock operates 20 cycles. The numbers of boats arriving in different cycles are independent.

    Find the probability that more than 4 boats arrive in at least two of the cycles on that day.

    3 marks

  8. (e)(i)

    The following summer a new marina opens upstream. Ingrid believes that the mean number of boats arriving per hour has increased. She will count the number of boats, T, arriving during one randomly chosen five-hour period and test her belief at the 5 % significance level.

    State the null and alternative hypotheses for this test.

    1 mark

  9. (e)(ii)

    Find the critical region for this test.

    3 marks

  10. (e)(iii)

    During the five-hour period, 25 boats arrive at the lock.

    State the conclusion of the test, in context. Give a reason for your answer.

    2 marks

  11. (f)

    Find the probability of a Type I error for this test.

    2 marks

  12. (g)

    In fact, after the marina opens, the mean number of boats arriving is 4.4 per hour.

    Find the probability of a Type II error for this test.

    3 marks

  13. (h)

    Suggest how Ingrid could reduce the probability of a Type II error without increasing the significance level of the test.

    1 mark

Question 4 · AI-00959Paper 1 · 7 marks

Amara travels to work either by bus or by tram. Her journey time by bus, B minutes, follows the distribution N(34,4.52). Her journey time by tram, T minutes, follows the distribution N(31,2.82). All journey times are independent.

  1. (a)

    Find E(B−T) and Var(B−T).

    2 marks

  2. (b)

    On a randomly chosen day, find the probability that a bus journey would be quicker than a tram journey.

    2 marks

  3. (c)

    In one week Amara travels by tram on each of her 5 working days. Find the probability that her total travel time for these five journeys is more than 160 minutes.

    3 marks

Question 5 · AI-00494Paper 2 · 18 marks

A botanical garden has an entrance, A, and five glasshouses, B, C, D, E and F. The following table shows the least walking times, in minutes, between them.

A

B

C

D

E

F

A

–

7

11

9

14

10

B

7

–

6

12

9

13

C

11

6

–

8

5

12

D

9

12

8

–

10

6

E

14

9

5

10

–

11

F

10

13

12

6

11

–

Siobhan wants to visit every glasshouse once, starting and finishing at the entrance.

  1. (a)

    Use the nearest neighbour algorithm, starting at A, to find an upper bound for her total walking time.

    3 marks

  2. (b)

    By deleting vertex A and using Prim's algorithm starting at B, find a lower bound for her total walking time.

    4 marks

  3. (c)

    Deleting vertex D gives a lower bound of 42 minutes. Let W be her least possible total walking time. Write down the best inequality for W.

    2 marks

  4. (d)

    The times, in minutes, that Siobhan spends inside the glasshouses are independent and normally distributed as follows.

    Glasshouse

    B

    C

    D

    E

    F

    Mean

    12

    15

    10

    18

    9

    Standard deviation

    2

    3

    1.5

    4

    2

    Find the mean and the variance of S, the total time she spends inside the glasshouses.

    3 marks

  5. (e)

    Siobhan follows the route found in part (a). Find the probability that her whole visit, walking and time in the glasshouses, takes no more than 115 minutes.

    3 marks

  6. (f)

    The garden closes at 17:00. Find the latest time, to the nearest minute, that Siobhan can arrive at the entrance so that the probability that she finishes her visit before closing is at least 0.95.

    3 marks

Question 6 · AI-01643Paper 3 · 27 marks

The purpose of this question is to plan and analyse a survey of the lengths of trout in two lakes.

Aroha is a fisheries scientist. She is planning a survey of rainbow trout in Lake Moana. Previous surveys show that the lengths of trout in the lake have a standard deviation of 6.2 cm, and that the distribution of lengths is positively skewed. You may assume that this standard deviation has not changed.

The lake has three regions. Of the trout in the lake, 45 % live in the northern region, 30 % in the central region and 25 % in the southern region.

  1. (a)

    Aroha will measure a stratified sample of 60 trout, stratified by region.

    Find the number of trout she should measure from each region.

    2 marks

  2. (b)

    Let Lˉ be the mean length, in cm, of a random sample of 60 trout from the lake, and let μ be the mean length of all the trout in the lake.

    Explain why Lˉ can be modelled by a normal distribution, and state this distribution in terms of μ.

    2 marks

  3. (c)

    Find the probability that Lˉ is within 1.5 cm of μ.

    2 marks

  4. (d)

    Find the smallest sample size for which the probability that the sample mean is within 1.5 cm of μ is at least 0.98.

    3 marks

  5. (e)

    Aroha measures a random sample of 60 trout. Their mean length is 34.6 cm.

    Find a 95 % confidence interval for μ.

    2 marks

  6. (f)

    Ten years earlier, the mean length of trout in Lake Moana was 32.5 cm.

    Comment on whether Aroha's interval suggests that the mean length has changed.

    2 marks

  7. (g)(i)

    Aroha also studies trout in Lake Kōwhai, where the standard deviation of lengths is unknown and the lengths are normally distributed. She measures the lengths, in cm, of a random sample of 10 trout.

    Trout

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    Length (cm)

    31.2

    35.8

    28.4

    33.1

    30.6

    36.9

    29.7

    34.3

    32.5

    27.9

    Find unbiased estimates of the mean and the variance of the lengths of trout in Lake Kōwhai.

    2 marks

  8. (g)(ii)

    Find a 90 % confidence interval for the mean length of trout in Lake Kōwhai.

    2 marks

  9. (g)(iii)

    Explain why a t-distribution, and not a normal distribution, is used for this interval.

    1 mark

  10. (h)

    Trout in Lake Kōwhai can only be fished commercially if their mean length is greater than 30 cm.

    Use Aroha's sample to test, at the 5 % significance level, whether the mean length of trout in Lake Kōwhai is greater than 30 cm.

    5 marks

  11. (i)(i)

    The price, V euros (EUR), paid for a trout from Lake Moana of length L cm is given by V=0.9L−6. Assume that L has mean 34.6 cm and standard deviation 6.2 cm.

    Find the mean and the standard deviation of V.

    2 marks

  12. (i)(ii)

    A box contains 25 trout from Lake Moana, whose lengths are independent.

    Find the mean and the standard deviation of the total price paid for the box.

    2 marks

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The notes on 4.14 Linear transformations of random variables

More questions in Statistics and probability

  1. 4.1Collecting data and sampling
  2. 4.2Presenting data
  3. 4.3Measures of central tendency and dispersion
  4. 4.4Correlation and regression
  5. 4.5Concepts of probability
  6. 4.6Combined events
  7. 4.7Discrete random variables
  8. 4.8The binomial distribution
  9. 4.9The normal distribution
  10. 4.10Spearman’s rank correlation
  11. 4.11Hypothesis testing
  12. 4.12Data collection and reliability
  13. 4.13Non-linear regression
  14. 4.14Linear transformations of random variablesThis page
  15. 4.15The central limit theorem
  16. 4.16Confidence intervals
  17. 4.17The Poisson distribution
  18. 4.18Further hypothesis testing
  19. 4.19Transition matrices and Markov chains

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