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  3. Collecting, processing and presenting data

Collecting, processing and presenting data

Choose and justify a sampling strategy, collect reliable primary data in rivers, on beaches and in towns, process it into tables, present it with the most appropriate graphs and maps, and apply Spearman’s rank and chi-squared tests.

  • IB Geography
  • Internal assessment
  • SL and HL

25 min readLast reviewed 18 Oct 2026

Sampling

No investigation can measure everything: every metre of a river, every person in a town, every pebble on a beach. Sampling selects a manageable number of sites, people or items so that conclusions about the whole can be drawn from them. A good sample is large enough to show a pattern, spread across the whole study area, and chosen in a way that does not favour particular results.

Definition

Sampling: the selection of a manageable number of sites, people or items to measure, so that conclusions about a whole population or area can be drawn from them.

Four sampling methods are used in geographical fieldwork. Each can be applied to points (sites in an area), lines (sites along a transect) or areas (squares of a grid), and to people as well as places.

Definition

Transect: a line across an area along which observations or measurements are made at intervals, to record how conditions change with distance.

Three square study areas with 20 sample points each: random (scattered unevenly), systematic (a regular 5 by 4 grid) and stratified (7 points in a woodland zone covering 35% of the area and 13 in a grassland zone covering 65%).Three square study areas with 20 sample points each: random (scattered unevenly), systematic (a regular 5 by 4 grid) and stratified (7 points in a woodland zone covering 35% of the area and 13 in a grassland zone covering 65%).
Twenty points chosen three ways in the same area. Random points can cluster and leave gaps; systematic points cover the area evenly; stratified points are shared between woodland (35%) and grassland (65%) in proportion to their areas.

Method

How it works

Strengths

Limitations

Random sampling

Every point or person has an equal chance of selection, chosen with random number tables or a random number generator (for example, grid coordinates)

Free from the investigator’s bias; suits statistical tests

May miss parts of the area by chance; random points may be inaccessible

Systematic sampling

Samples at regular intervals: every 50 m along a transect, every tenth passer-by, every 15 minutes

Easy to organise; even coverage; good for showing change with distance

May miss or over-represent features that recur at the same interval

Stratified sampling

The population or area is divided into subgroups (land-use zones, age groups) and each is sampled in proportion to its share

Every subgroup is represented in the right proportion

Needs reliable information on the size of each subgroup

Pragmatic sampling (opportunistic)

Sites or people are chosen because they are safe, accessible and available

Practical where access is limited; often the only safe option on a river

Most open to bias; results may not represent the whole

Definition

Stratified sampling: a sampling method that divides a population or area into subgroups and samples each in proportion to its share of the whole, so that every subgroup is represented.

Methods are often combined. A transect may use systematic sites, adjusted pragmatically where a site falls in a private garden or a deep pool, with the reason recorded. A questionnaire may stratify by age group and then choose people randomly within each group. Whatever the method, the report states it and justifies it, and says how many samples were taken and why.

Sampling the Kerran Beck

Eight sites were planned systematically, at roughly equal intervals of 1.3 km along the channel from 0.8 km to 9.7 km below the source. Where the planned point had no safe access, the nearest point with a footpath and a gentle bank was used instead, which is pragmatic sampling within a systematic plan. At each site 15 pebbles were chosen randomly from the bed by stepping across the channel and picking up the pebble under the toe of the boot at each step, without looking.

Worked example

A student surveys shoppers’ origins in a town centre. In the town’s population, 20% are aged 15–24, 45% are 25–59 and 35% are 60 and over. The student plans 60 questionnaires. Determine a stratified sample by age, and explain one advantage of stratifying.

Show the solution

Step 1: multiply the sample size by each group’s share: 15–24: 60 × 0.20 = 12; 25–59: 60 × 0.45 = 27; 60 and over: 60 × 0.35 = 21 (total 60).

Step 2: advantage. Shoppers on a weekday morning may be mostly older people; stratifying makes sure each age group is represented in proportion to the town’s population ✓, so the results describe the town as a whole rather than whoever happened to be shopping at that time ✓.

Sample size is a balance. Larger samples give more reliable results and allow statistical tests (Spearman’s rank needs at least about 8 to 10 pairs of data, and preferably more), but each extra site takes time. In the Kerran Beck study, eight sites is the minimum for a meaningful test; ten or twelve would have been better if time had allowed.

Common mistake

Choosing sites or people by convenience and describing the sample as random. "I asked people who looked friendly" or "I measured where it was easy to stand" is pragmatic sampling, and it introduces bias. Name the method you actually used and discuss its effect in the evaluation.

Methods of collecting primary data

Measuring a river channel

Channel measurements are taken at each site along a line at right angles to the flow. Width is measured with a tape across the water surface. Depth is measured with a metre rule at equal intervals across the channel, usually ten, so that the shape of the bed is recorded and a mean depth can be found. The cross-sectional area is width × mean depth, and discharge is cross-sectional area × mean velocity.

Channel cross-section: a tape across the water surface (width 3.8 m), depth read with a metre rule at nine points 0.38 m apart, the shaded cross-sectional area, the wetted perimeter along the bed and banks, and a float timed over 10 m.Channel cross-section: a tape across the water surface (width 3.8 m), depth read with a metre rule at nine points 0.38 m apart, the shaded cross-sectional area, the wetted perimeter along the bed and banks, and a float timed over 10 m.
Depth is read at equal intervals so the mean depth, and therefore the area, can be calculated. The wetted perimeter is the length of bed and bank in contact with the water, measured with a chain laid along them.

Velocity can be measured with a flow meter, which gives a reading in m s⁻¹ directly, or with a float timed over a measured distance. A float moves at the speed of the surface water, which is faster than the mean, so the surface velocity is multiplied by a correction factor of about 0.8. Three or more runs at each site, averaged, reduce the effect of eddies and timing errors. The wetted perimeter is measured with a chain or a weighted rope laid along the bed from one water edge to the other.

Worked example

At site 5 on the Kerran Beck (hypothetical data), the channel is 3.8 m wide. Depths at nine equal intervals across it are 0.10, 0.18, 0.24, 0.29, 0.33, 0.35, 0.32, 0.30 and 0.23 m. A float took 20.4, 21.6 and 21.2 s to travel 10 m. Determine the mean depth, cross-sectional area, mean velocity and discharge.

Show the solution

Step 1: mean depth. Σ depths = 2.34 m; 2.34 ÷ 9 = 0.26 m.

Step 2: cross-sectional area. A = width × mean depth = 3.8 m × 0.26 m = 0.99 m² (0.988 m²).

Step 3: surface velocity. Mean time = (20.4 + 21.6 + 21.2) ÷ 3 = 21.07 s; surface velocity = 10 m ÷ 21.07 s = 0.475 m s⁻¹.

Step 4: mean velocity. 0.475 × 0.8 = 0.38 m s⁻¹.

Q=A×v=0.988 m2×0.38 m s−1=0.38 m3 s−1Q=A×v=0.988 m2×0.38 m s−1=0.38 m3s−1

Keep unrounded values through the calculation and round only the final answer, to two significant figures for field data like these.

Other channel variables complete the picture. Gradient is measured with a clinometer sighted between two ranging poles a set distance apart (10 m) along the bank. Bedload is sampled by measuring the b-axis (the intermediate axis) of each pebble with callipers, and its roundness is judged against a Powers roundness chart, from very angular to well rounded. Hydraulic radius is calculated as cross-sectional area ÷ wetted perimeter.

Beach profiles

A beach profile measures the shape of a beach from the sea to its landward edge. Two ranging poles are placed at the first break of slope (where the angle of the beach changes); a tape measures the distance between them, and a clinometer, sighted from a mark on one pole to the same height on the other, measures the angle. The poles then leapfrog down the beach to the next break of slope, and the profile is drawn from the distances and angles.

Definition

Beach profile: a cross-section of a beach from the sea to the back of the beach, measured as a series of slope angles and distances between breaks of slope.

Beach profile method: ranging poles A–F at each break of slope from the back of the beach down to the sea at low tide, a dashed sight line between poles at the same height for the clinometer, berm and beach face labelled.Beach profile method: ranging poles A–F at each break of slope from the back of the beach down to the sea at low tide, a dashed sight line between poles at the same height for the clinometer, berm and beach face labelled.
Poles at each break of slope divide the beach into straight sections; each section’s length and angle are recorded and the profile is drawn to scale from them. Profiles are measured at the same state of the tide.

Vegetation and quadrats

Vegetation and ground cover are measured with a quadrat, a square frame (often 0.5 m × 0.5 m, divided into 25 or 100 small squares) placed at intervals along a transect. The percentage of the frame covered by each species, by bare ground or by litter is estimated by counting the small squares. Quadrats along a transect across sand dunes record plant succession; along a footpath, they record trampling.

Definition

Quadrat: a square frame of known size, often 0.5 m by 0.5 m, placed on the ground to measure the percentage cover or number of plants or particles inside it.

Questionnaires and interviews

A questionnaire asks a sample of people the same questions in the same order, so that their answers can be counted and compared. Closed questions (tick boxes, yes/no, multiple choice, rating scales) are quick to answer and easy to analyse; open questions give richer, qualitative answers but take longer to process. A Likert scale asks people to rate a statement from "strongly disagree" to "strongly agree" and turns perceptions into numbers.

  • Keep it short: eight to twelve questions, one side of paper, under three minutes.

  • Start with easy factual questions (where have you travelled from?) and put sensitive ones (age group) at the end, as ranges.

  • Avoid leading questions ("Don’t you agree the town is too crowded?") and questions that ask two things at once.

  • Test it in the pilot study and change any question people misunderstand.

  • Introduce yourself, explain the purpose and record answers anonymously; respect a refusal.

Interviews are longer conversations with a few people chosen for what they know: a shopkeeper, a council officer, a farmer, a warden. They provide explanations and perspectives that numbers cannot, and they are qualitative evidence to be quoted briefly and compared with the measured data.

Environmental quality surveys

An environmental quality survey scores the quality of a place on a set of criteria, each on a fixed scale between two opposites. Each site is scored on the same criteria, and the scores are totalled into an index that can be compared between sites and presented on a bipolar graph.

Criterion

−3

−2

−1

0

+1

+2

+3

Criterion

Litter

A lot of litter

No litter

Noise

Very noisy

Quiet

Graffiti and vandalism

Widespread

None

Green space

None visible

Extensive and well kept

Building condition

Derelict

Excellent

Traffic

Heavy, congested

Very light

The scores are subjective: two people may score the same street differently. Reliability improves when the criteria are described precisely (what counts as "a lot of litter"), when two people score each site independently and their scores are averaged, and when all sites are surveyed at the same time of day.

Pedestrian and traffic counts

A pedestrian count records the number of people passing a fixed point in a set time, such as ten minutes, using a tally or a hand counter. Counting at many sites at the same time, with several people, gives a snapshot of how busy each part of a settlement is; repeating counts at different times shows daily and weekly variation. Traffic counts work in the same way and can separate cars, buses, lorries and bicycles.

Land-use mapping, photographs and field sketches

Land use is recorded by walking a route and classifying each building or plot (retail, offices, residential, services, open space, vacant) on a base map, usually the ground floor only. Photographs record evidence at each site and become figures when they are annotated. A field sketch goes further: it selects only the relevant features of a view and labels and annotates them, which shows the investigator’s interpretation.

Definition

Field sketch: a simple labelled drawing of a landscape or feature made in the field, showing only the features relevant to the investigation, with annotations.

Exam tip

Criterion B rewards methods that are described precisely enough to be repeated and justified against the question. For each method state what was measured, how, with what, how many times, where and when, and why it tests the hypothesis. A numbered list of equipment earns very little.

Recording data accurately

Data are recorded in the field on a recording sheet prepared in advance, with a row for each site and a column for each measurement, units in the headings and space for repeat readings, the time and notes. Writing down raw readings, not calculated values, means mistakes can be found and corrected later. Each site is photographed and its position recorded with GPS or a grid reference.

Site

Time

Width (m)

Depths at 0.1 w intervals (m)

Float times over 10 m (s)

Wetted perimeter (m)

Pebble b-axes (mm)

Notes

5

11:40

3.8

0.10, 0.18, 0.24, 0.29, 0.33, 0.35, 0.32, 0.30, 0.23

20.4, 21.6, 21.2

4.43

38, 42, 47 … (15 values)

400 m below the Hollin Gill confluence; dry two days; photo 14

The recording sheet holds raw readings only, one row per site, so that every later value can be traced back to what was measured. The notes column records anything that could explain an unusual result, such as a fallen tree, a tributary or livestock in the water.

Two qualities decide how far the data can be trusted. Reliability is whether the method gives consistent results when repeated; validity is whether it measures what the investigation actually needs to know. A float run repeated three times with similar times is reliable; it is valid as a measure of mean velocity only after the correction factor has been applied and if it was released in the main current.

Definition

Reliability: the degree to which a method gives consistent results when repeated in the same conditions, by the same or a different investigator.

A method can be reliable without being valid. Counting pedestrians for ten minutes at 9 a.m. on a Monday gives consistent results week after week, but it is not a valid measure of how busy a shopping street is on a Saturday.

Definition

Validity: the degree to which data and methods actually measure what the investigation sets out to measure, so that conclusions drawn from them are justified.

Bias is a systematic distortion: results pushed in one direction by the way data were chosen, recorded or interpreted. Sampling bias comes from unrepresentative sites or respondents (only measuring where the bank is easy); measurement bias from equipment or habits (always reading the metre rule from above the water, which adds the height of the bow wave); personal bias from expectations (scoring a run-down street lower because it was expected to be poor).

Definition

Bias: a systematic distortion of results caused by the way sites, people or data are chosen, recorded or interpreted, so that they no longer represent the whole fairly.

Problem

Effect on data

How to reduce it

Reaction time with a stopwatch

Random error in float times

Longer timing distance; three or more runs; the same person timing

Metre rule pushed into soft sediment

Depths too large

Rest the rule on the bed surface; read at eye level

Different people scoring an EQS

Inconsistent scores between sites

Precise criteria; two scorers per site; average the scores

Questionnaires only on one weekday morning

Some groups over- or under-represented

Survey at different times and days; stratify by age

River level changing during the day

Sites not comparable

Measure all sites on one day; note rainfall; check a gauge record

Common mistake

Rounding in the field or recording only a mean. "Velocity 0.4 m s⁻¹" cannot be checked; "float times 20.4, 21.6, 21.2 s over 10 m" can. Record raw values with units and calculate later.

Processing the data

Processing turns raw readings into the values that answer the hypotheses: means of repeat readings, cross-sectional areas, discharges, percentages, index scores. The processed data are best shown in one clear table, with units in every column heading and the same number of decimal places in each column. Such tables of numbers are not counted in the 2,500 words.

Site

Distance from source (km)

Width (m)

Mean depth (m)

Area (m²)

Mean velocity (m s⁻¹)

Discharge (m³ s⁻¹)

Wetted perimeter (m)

Hydraulic radius (m)

Mean pebble b-axis (mm)

1

0.8

1.2

0.11

0.13

0.21

0.028

1.48

0.09

112

2

2.1

1.9

0.15

0.29

0.26

0.074

2.27

0.13

96

3

3.4

2.6

0.19

0.49

0.31

0.153

3.06

0.16

88

4

4.6

2.6

0.24

0.62

0.24

0.150

3.17

0.20

81

5

5.9

3.8

0.26

0.99

0.38

0.375

4.43

0.22

64

6

7.2

4.3

0.31

1.33

0.42

0.560

5.04

0.26

59

7

8.4

4.1

0.36

1.48

0.47

0.694

4.95

0.30

47

8

9.7

5.2

0.40

2.08

0.52

1.082

6.12

0.34

41

The table is the hypothetical data set for the Kerran Beck, used for every graph and test that follows. Even before any graph is drawn, the trends are visible: width, depth, discharge and velocity rise downstream and pebble size falls. The irregularities are visible too: site 4 is no wider than site 3 and slower than site 2, and site 7 is slightly narrower than site 6. Bed gradient, measured with the clinometer, fell from 6.5° at site 1 to 1.0° at site 8.

Tip

Check processed values against common sense before going further. A discharge of 25 m³ s⁻¹ in a stream 2 m wide, or a mean depth greater than the deepest reading, means a slip in the units or the arithmetic.

Presenting the data

Criterion C rewards the most appropriate techniques, used effectively and following conventions. "Appropriate" means the technique suits the type of data and shows the pattern the hypothesis is about: change with distance suits a scatter graph or a located graph on a map; parts of a whole suit a compound bar or pie chart; a comparison of spreads suits box-and-whisker plots. Variety for its own sake earns nothing, and three different graphs of the same variable are no better than one good one.

Data and purpose

Appropriate technique

Less appropriate

Change in a variable with distance along a river, transect or route

Scatter graph with best-fit line; located graphs or proportional symbols on the map

Pie charts for each site

The shape of a channel or beach

Cross-sections or profiles drawn to scale, side by side on the same scales

A table of depths alone

Plant cover along a transect

Kite diagram

A separate bar graph for each species

Spread of measurements at each site

Box-and-whisker plots or dispersion diagrams

Means alone

Parts of a total (land use, shop types, transport mode)

Compound bar graph; pie charts for one or two places

Line graph

Scores between opposites (EQS)

Bipolar graph

Pie chart

Visitors’ origins; flows of people or goods

Flow-line map; desire lines

A list of place names

Opinions and perceptions

Bar graph of coded responses; selected quotations

Every response printed in full

Conventions for every figure

  • Number every figure (Figure 1, Figure 2…) and refer to it in the text by number.

  • Give each a title that says what it shows, where and when ("Figure 4: Channel width against distance from source, Kerran Beck, 12 March").

  • Label both axes with the variable and its unit; start bar graph axes at zero; use the same scales when graphs are to be compared.

  • Add a key where more than one symbol, line or shade is used; maps need a north arrow and a scale.

  • Place each figure in the body of the report next to the analysis that uses it, never in an appendix.

  • Annotate where it helps: a short note on a graph or photograph that points out an anomaly or a feature earns more than a separate paragraph.

Channel cross-sections on the same scale at site 1 (1.2 m wide, maximum depth 0.15 m), site 4 (2.6 m, 0.31 m) and site 8 (5.2 m, 0.52 m), each shaded below the water surface.Channel cross-sections on the same scale at site 1 (1.2 m wide, maximum depth 0.15 m), site 4 (2.6 m, 0.31 m) and site 8 (5.2 m, 0.52 m), each shaded below the water surface.
Drawn on the same scales, the three cross-sections show the channel growing downstream in both width (1.2 m to 5.2 m) and depth. Site 4 is relatively deep for its width because the weir ponds water behind it. Hypothetical data; vertical exaggeration about × 6.

Cross-sections drawn side by side at the same scale are the clearest way to show how the shape of the channel changes. They show something the table does not: at site 4 the channel is as narrow as at site 3 but much deeper, a sign of the pool behind the weir, which matters later in explaining the velocity results.

Scatter graph of channel width (m) against distance from source (km) for eight sites: width rises from 1.2 m at 0.8 km to 5.2 m at 9.7 km, close to a dashed best-fit line; sites 3 and 4 both 2.6 m.Scatter graph of channel width (m) against distance from source (km) for eight sites: width rises from 1.2 m at 0.8 km to 5.2 m at 9.7 km, close to a dashed best-fit line; sites 3 and 4 both 2.6 m.
Channel width rises steadily with distance from the source, and the points lie close to the best-fit line. Sites 3 and 4 have the same width and site 7 is slightly narrower than site 6, small departures from an otherwise strong positive trend. Hypothetical data.

A scatter graph is the most appropriate way to show each hypothesis about change with distance, because distance is a continuous independent variable and the best-fit line shows the trend. The width graph shows a strong positive relationship, the pattern H1 predicts. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient measures how strong it is and whether it could have arisen by chance.

The Kerran Beck location map with a proportional circle of discharge at each of the eight sites, growing from 0.03 m³ s⁻¹ at site 1 to 1.08 m³ s⁻¹ at site 8, with a jump below the tributary at site 5; key circles for 1.0 and 0.25 m³ s⁻¹.The Kerran Beck location map with a proportional circle of discharge at each of the eight sites, growing from 0.03 m³ s⁻¹ at site 1 to 1.08 m³ s⁻¹ at site 8, with a jump below the tributary at site 5; key circles for 1.0 and 0.25 m³ s⁻¹.
Proportional circles locate the discharge data on the map: discharge grows from 0.03 m³ s⁻¹ at site 1 to 1.08 m³ s⁻¹ at site 8, and the largest single increase is between sites 4 and 5, where Hollin Gill joins. Hypothetical data.

Located data on a map link the results to the place, which is something a graph cannot do. The discharge map shows not only that discharge increases downstream but where it increases most, below the tributary confluence, which supports the explanation that the drainage area and the volume of water collected grow downstream.

A kite diagram from a different investigation

A kite diagram shows how the cover of several species changes along a transect. Each species has its own horizontal axis, and at each sampling point the band is drawn with a width proportional to the percentage cover, half above the axis and half below. It is the standard way to present quadrat data from sand-dune succession or from vegetation either side of a footpath.

Definition

Kite diagram: a graph showing how the abundance of several species changes along a transect, each species drawn as a band whose width is proportional to its abundance at each point.

Kite diagram along a 200 m dune transect: sea couch grass near the strandline, marram grass peaking at 70% at 60 m, red fescue peaking at 100 m, heather peaking at 160 m, birch and pine increasing to 65% at 200 m.Kite diagram along a 200 m dune transect: sea couch grass near the strandline, marram grass peaking at 70% at 60 m, red fescue peaking at 100 m, heather peaking at 160 m, birch and pine increasing to 65% at 200 m.
Plant cover changes in sequence inland from the strandline: sea couch grass and marram grass on the young dunes, red fescue on the fixed dunes, then heather and finally birch and pine woodland. Hypothetical quadrat data at 20 m intervals.

Testing relationships: Spearman’s rank

A correlation is a relationship between two variables. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (rsrs​) measures its strength and direction using the ranks of the data rather than the values themselves, which makes it suitable for the small samples and uneven data of fieldwork. It ranges from +1 (a perfect positive relationship) through 0 (no relationship) to −1 (a perfect negative relationship).

Definition

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient: a statistic from −1 to +1 measuring the strength and direction of the relationship between the ranks of two sets of paired data.

rs=1−6∑d2n(n2−1)rs​=1−n(n2−1)6∑d2​
  1. State the null hypothesis: there is no relationship between the two variables.

  2. Rank each variable separately, 1 for the highest value. Tied values share the mean of the ranks they occupy (two values tied for 5th and 6th each get 5.5). With a few ties the formula still gives a close approximation.

  3. For each pair, find the difference between the ranks (d) and square it (d²).

  4. Add the squared differences (Σd²) and put the total into the formula, with n = the number of pairs.

  5. Compare rsrs​ with the critical value for n at the chosen significance level, and accept or reject the null hypothesis.

Worked example

Using the Kerran Beck data, determine Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for distance from source and channel width (H1), and test its significance.

Show the solution

Step 1: null hypothesis. H₀: there is no relationship between distance from source and channel width.

Step 2: rank, find d and d². Sites 3 and 4 are both 2.6 m wide; they occupy ranks 5 and 6, so each is ranked 5.5.

Site

Distance (km)

Rank

Width (m)

Rank

d

d²

1

0.8

8

1.2

8

0

0

2

2.1

7

1.9

7

0

0

3

3.4

6

2.6

5.5

0.5

0.25

4

4.6

5

2.6

5.5

−0.5

0.25

5

5.9

4

3.8

4

0

0

6

7.2

3

4.3

2

1

1

7

8.4

2

4.1

3

−1

1

8

9.7

1

5.2

1

0

0

Σd²

2.5

Step 3: calculate. n = 8, so n(n² − 1) = 8 × 63 = 504.

rs=1−6×2.5504=1−15504=1−0.030=0.970rs​=1−5046×2.5​=1−50415​=1−0.030=0.970

Step 4: significance. H1 predicts the direction of the relationship (width increases), so a one-tailed test is used. For n = 8 the one-tailed critical values are 0.643 at the 0.05 level and 0.833 at the 0.01 level. 0.970 exceeds 0.833, so H₀ is rejected at the 0.01 level: there is less than a 1% probability that a correlation this strong would arise by chance.

Step 5: conclude. There is a very strong, statistically significant positive correlation between distance downstream and channel width, which supports H1.

Significance and critical values

A correlation coefficient on its own does not show whether a relationship is real or a product of chance: with only a few pairs, a strong-looking value can appear at random. The significance level states how much risk of a chance result is accepted, usually 0.05 (5%, or 95% confidence) or 0.01 (1%, or 99% confidence). The critical value from statistical tables is the coefficient that must be reached for the result to be significant at that level, and it falls as the number of pairs rises.

Definition

Significance level: the probability threshold, usually 0.05 (5%) or 0.01 (1%), set before a statistical test; the null hypothesis is rejected if a result as strong as the one found would arise by chance less often than this.

Number of pairs (n)

One-tailed, 0.05

One-tailed, 0.01

Two-tailed, 0.05

Two-tailed, 0.01

8

0.643

0.833

0.738

0.881

10

0.564

0.745

0.648

0.794

A one-tailed test is used when the hypothesis predicts the direction of the relationship (width increases downstream); a two-tailed test when it predicts only that there is a relationship. The critical values apply to the size of rsrs​, so a negative coefficient (such as pebble size against distance) is compared using its absolute value.

A significant correlation does not prove that one variable causes the other, and "significant" is a statement about probability, not certainty. At the 0.05 level, about one test in twenty will show a "significant" result by chance alone, which is a reason for testing a small number of hypotheses chosen in advance from theory rather than correlating every pair of variables in the data set.

Common mistake

Reporting rsrs​ without a significance test, or with the critical value for the wrong number of pairs. "rsrs​ = 0.97, a strong correlation" is incomplete; "rsrs​ = 0.97, significant at the 0.01 level (critical value 0.833 for n = 8, one-tailed), so H₀ is rejected" is complete.

Testing differences: the chi-squared test

The chi-squared test compares observed frequencies in categories with the frequencies that would be expected if there were no difference or association. It needs counts (numbers of pebbles, people or shops), never percentages or means, and expected frequencies of at least 5 in each cell.

Definition

Chi-squared test: a statistical test comparing observed frequencies in categories with those expected if there were no difference or association, to see whether the gap is significant.

χ2=∑(O−E)2EE=row total×column totalgrand totaldf=(r−1)(c−1)χ2=∑E(O−E)2​E=grand totalrow total×column total​df=(r−1)(c−1)

Worked example

On the Kerran Beck, 30 pebbles from the upper sites (1 and 2) and 30 from the lower sites (7 and 8) were classified by roundness. Upper: angular 11, sub-angular 10, sub-rounded 6, rounded 3. Lower: angular 3, sub-angular 7, sub-rounded 11, rounded 9 (hypothetical data). Determine whether pebble shape differs significantly between the upper and lower course.

Show the solution

Step 1: null hypothesis. H₀: there is no difference in pebble roundness between the upper and lower sites.

Step 2: expected frequencies. Column totals are 14, 17, 17 and 12; each row total is 30 and the grand total is 60, so E = 30 × column total ÷ 60.

Angular

Sub-angular

Sub-rounded

Rounded

Total

Upper: observed (expected)

11 (7.0)

10 (8.5)

6 (8.5)

3 (6.0)

30

Lower: observed (expected)

3 (7.0)

7 (8.5)

11 (8.5)

9 (6.0)

30

(O − E)² ÷ E, upper

2.286

0.265

0.735

1.500

(O − E)² ÷ E, lower

2.286

0.265

0.735

1.500

Step 3: calculate. χ² = 2 × (2.286 + 0.265 + 0.735 + 1.500) = 9.57.

Step 4: degrees of freedom. df = (2 − 1)(4 − 1) = 3.

Step 5: significance. For df = 3 the critical values are 7.81 at the 0.05 level and 11.34 at the 0.01 level. 9.57 exceeds 7.81 but not 11.34, so H₀ is rejected at the 0.05 level (95% confidence) but not at the 0.01 level.

Step 6: conclude. Pebbles are significantly more rounded in the lower course than in the upper course, which supports the idea that attrition and abrasion round the load as it is transported downstream.

Choosing a statistical technique

Question about the data

Technique

Data needed

Is there a relationship between two variables measured at the same sites?

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient

At least 8–10 pairs of values

Do counts in categories differ from what chance would give, or between places?

Chi-squared test

Frequencies (counts), expected values ≥ 5

Are points on a map clustered, random or regular?

Nearest neighbour index

The positions of the points and the area

Is an activity more concentrated here than in the wider region?

Location quotient

Counts for the area and the reference region

How do the averages and spreads of two or more samples compare?

Mean, median, interquartile range; box-and-whisker plots

A sample of measurements at each site

The nearest neighbour index (Rn=2dˉn/ARn​=2dˉn/A​: 0 clustered, about 1 random, 2.15 regular) and the location quotient (LQ=ei/eEi/ELQ=Ei​/Eei​/e​: above 1 means more concentrated than in the reference region) are the other two techniques. In fieldwork they suit questions about the distribution of shops, services or settlements, and about how specialised a town’s economy is.

Exam tip

A statistical test earns credit under criterion C (treatment) and criterion D (analysis) only when it is appropriate, correctly calculated and interpreted with its significance level. One well-chosen test per hypothesis, fully interpreted, is worth more than several tests that are calculated and never discussed.

Add to your notes: a one-page method sheet for Spearman’s rank and chi-squared: the formula, the steps, a table layout to copy, the critical values for your sample size, and one sentence showing how to report the result.

Collecting and presenting checklist

  • To do:

    I can name, describe and justify my sampling method and sample size.

  • To do:

    Each method is described precisely enough to be repeated, with equipment, units, repeats, place and time.

  • To do:

    My raw data are recorded in the field with units, and processed into one clear table.

  • To do:

    I can explain how reliable and valid each method is, and what bias it may contain.

  • To do:

    Every figure is numbered, titled, labelled with units, keyed and referred to in the text.

  • To do:

    Each hypothesis has the most appropriate graph or map, and the results are located on a map where it helps.

  • To do:

    I have chosen a statistical test suited to each hypothesis, calculated it correctly and stated its significance level.

  • To do:

    No figure is in an appendix; the appendix holds at most a sample recording sheet or questionnaire.

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